Schedule for ``Industrial Organization and Business Strategy II''
(G604) (7 May 2006)
Basics
Instructor: Eric Rasmusen,
[email protected], BU 456, 812-855-9219.
Office hours: Monday, Wednesday,
2:30-3:45 (but feel free to drop by other times if my door is open).
Texts:
    Most of the readings will be available via weblinks from
this html file.
   
Stephen Martin, Advanced
Industrial Economics, 2nd edition, Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, 2002.
Most of you will have this from last semester. Martin's errata is
up on the web.
    The
Eli Lilly Annual Report.
    Eric Rasmusen, Games and Information, Fourth
Edition draft chapters, 2005.
Recommended Books:
    Eric Rasmusen, The Games and Information
Reader, Blackwell, 2001. The Reader is helpful as a guide to doing
research, as well as for the journal articles it contains.
    Jean Tirole, The Theory of Industrial Organization ,
MIT Press (1988). Tirole's book is the standard text in industrial
organization, and anyone taking the field exam ought to own a copy.
    This course is designed to be a second semester course for
students at Indiana University interested in industrial organization, and hence
is rather different from the typical industrial organization course. The
difficulty in a course like this is to strike a balance between surveying the
field and preparing students for dissertation work in some one narrow part of
it.
.
- Week 1:
- 10 January, Tuesday. Regressions of Profit on Industry
    Martin: Chapter 5
   
Powerpoints on concentration and profits.
- 12 January, Thursday. Problems with Profit Regressions .
    Martin:
Chapter 6
    Overheads on four
alternative theories
- Week 2
- 17 January, Tuesday. Various Theories for Profit Regressions
.
    Martin:
Chapter 7
For a discussion of marginal vs. average Tobin's q, see the introduction to
the working paper,
"Fixed Costs:
The Demise of Marginal q" by Ricardo J. Caballero and
John V. Leahy.
- 19 January, Thursday. Accounting, Data, and Finance .
    I have constructed a data page that has lots of links. The
Wharton WRDS finance data site is at
http://wrds.wharton.upenn.edu
    The Eli Lilly Annual Report. I
have posted my powerpoint slides on
accounting.
- Week 3
- 24 January, Tuesday. Games of Incomplete Information and Perfect
Bayesian Equilibrium
    Rasmusen: Chapter 2 and Chapter 6. Here
are pdf slides from Chapter 2
and Chapter 6.
    You may also find useful the book's bibliography, in
pdf.
- 26 January, Thursday.
Repeated Games and Reputation
    Rasmusen: Chapter 5. Here are
pdf slides from Chapters 5
and 6.
    Homework problems from Games and Information, due
Tuesday: 2.8, 5.1, 5.2, 6.1.
Martin, Chapter 10.
- Week 4
- 31 January, Tuesday.
Mechanism Design, Unravelling, and Sender-Receiver Games
    Rasmusen: Chapter 10.
    Here are pdf slides from Chapter 10.
- 2 February, Thursday. Rate of Return Regulation
    Rasmusen: Chapter 10.
    Homework problems from Games and Information, due
Tuesday: 6.3, 10.1, 10.2, 10.4
- Week 5
- 7 February, Tuesday. Auctions
    Rasmusen: Chapter 13.
    Here are pdf slides from Chapter 13, and various rewrites (the first-price
auction bid function, common value revenue ranking, a different revenue
equivalence theorem).
- 9 February, Thursday. Auctions
Rasmusen: Chapter 13.
    Homework assignment, due Tuesday: Prove the two auction
revenue equivalence theorems without having the book open in front of you.
- Week 6
- 14 February, Tuesday. The Hotelling Model
    Rasmusen: Rasmusen: Chapter 14.
    Here are pdf slides from Chapter 14.
    Martin: Chapter 4.
- 16 February, Thursday. Vertical Differentiation
    Rasmusen: Rasmusen: Chapter 14.
    Martin, Chapter 4.
- Week 7
- 21 February, Tuesday.
Midterm examination
    Spring 2003
answers and an Excel spreadsheet illustrating Vinerian U-shaped cost curves.
    Spring 2006 answers
and pdf slides
of the answer sheet.
- 22 February, WEDNESDAY NIGHT, 8:30-9:45. BU 404.
Research at Indiana
Richmond Harbaugh's
homepage.
False
Modesty: When Disclosing Good News Looks Bad. Dr. Richmond Harbaugh
and Ted To, working paper. Also:
powerpoint slides.
Comparative Cheap Talk. Archishman Chakraborty and Rick Harbaugh,
forthcoming, Journal of Economic Theory. Also: powerpoint slides.
- Week 8
- 28 February, Tuesday. Demand Estimation I
    Eric Rasmusen, "The BLP
Method of Demand Curve
Estimation in Industrial Organization," forthcoming in Gendai
Keizaigaku 1, mikuro-bunseki, edited by Isao Miura and Tohru Naito, Tokyo:
Keiso shobo.
    Aviv Nevo, "A
Practitioner's Guide to Estimation of Random-Coefficients Logit Models of
Demand," Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 9(4):
513-548 (Winter 2000).
- 2 March, Thursday.
Demand Estimation II
        We will continue with the previous topic. You
need not read any of the links below-- they are just for reference, though I
hope to cover the Appendix and some computer code in one of these classes.
        Nevo's homepage and Appendix and computer code are also useful. See too the revisions of his code by Bronwyn Hall
(2005) and Eric Rasmusen (2005).
    Webpage Project due.
- Week 9
- 7 March, Tuesday. Demand Estimation III
    On the method of moments, see
Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2001.
"Applications of
Generalized Method of Moments Estimation,"Journal of Economic
Perspectives, 15(4): 87-100.
    A few powerpoint slides.
    For reference--- you need not read: Steven Berry, James Levinsohn, and Ariel Pakes,
"Automobile Prices in Market Equilibrium,"
Econometrica, 63(4): 841-890 (July 1995) and the working paper version, which is
easier to read.
- 9 March, Thursday. Demand Estimation IV
   Ian Lee's slides on
BLP and his dissertation work.
    For reference--- you need not read: Steven Berry, James
Levinsohn, and Ariel Pakes, "Differentiated
Products Demand Systems from a Combination of Micro and Macro ..." The
Journal of Political Economy, 112(1): 68-105 (February 2004).
    For reference--- you need not read: On Matlab, see
"Getting Started With MATLAB" by
David Hart and Clinton Wolfe, Indiana University (June 1999) and my notes.
(14, 16 March) SPRING BREAK
- Week 10
- 21 March, Tuesday. Classics: Public Policy
    Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations (1776) "Of the
Causes of Improvement in the productive Powers of Labour, and of the Order
according to which its Produce is naturally distributed among the different
Ranks of the People,"
Book I, chapters 1-3. (do not read chapters 4 and on).
   "I,
Pencil,"
Leonard Read, The Freeman (December (1958).
http://www.econlib.org/library/Essays/rdPncl1.html.
    Arnold C. Harberger
(1954) "Monopoly and Resource
Allocation," The American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings of
the Sixty-sixth Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association,
44(2): 77-87 (May 1954). On Ramsey pricing, see my natural monopoly
powerpoint
slides from G406.
    George J. Stigler (1971)
"The Theory of Economic Regulation" The Bell Journal of Economics and
Management Science, 2(1): 3-21 (Spring 1971)
    David Friedman,
Law's Order, chapters 4 and 5, pages 36-62, on the Coase
Theorem and Calabresi
and Melamed. (See
http://www.daviddfriedman.com/laws_order. ) Also: bids in the
sulfuric acid auction of 2005, and an article on the buyout of an Ohio
town by a polluter.
    I have posted my powerpoint slides
.
- 23 March, Thursday. Classics: Organization
    Alfred Marshall, Principles of Economics, 8th edition,
1920 (1st edition, 1890), "Industrial Organization, Continued. Business
Management,"Book IV,
Chapter 12.
    Joseph A. Schumpeter. "The Fundamental Problem of Economic
Development," The Theory of Economic Development, tr. Redvers Opie,
pp. 57-94 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1934, 1st edition in German, 1911).
The Viner, Kreps, and Schumpeter materials are all in one pdf file here.
    I have posted my powerpoint slides .
- Week 11
- 28 March, Tuesday. The Theory of the Firm
    R.
H. Coase (1937) "The Nature of the
Firm," Economica, New Series, 4(16): 386-405 (November
1937)
    I have posted my powerpoint slides .
    Tirole, pp. 15-60, "The
Theory of the Firm" (pw: coin).
A couple of my papers that connect nicely with these ideas are:
Rasmusen and Zenger,
``Diseconomies of Scale in Employment Contracts,'' Journal of Law,
Economics and Organization (June 1990), 6(1): 65-92; and
Lyon and Rasmusen,
``Buyer-Option Contracts, Renegotiation, and the Hold-Up Problem,''
Journal of Law, Economics and Organization , 20,1: 148-169 (April
2004).
- 30 March, Thursday. Research at Indiana University: John Maxwell
    Lyon, Thomas P. and John Maxwell (2004)
"Astroturf: Interest Group
Lobbying and Corporate Strategy," Journal of Economics & Management
Strategy, 2004, 13(4) 561.
    The profit assignment is due today.
- Week 12
- 4 April, Tuesday. Firm Size
    Jacob Viner (1931) "Cost Curves and Supply Curves,"
Zeitschrift fur Nationalokonomie, 3: 23-46 (1931). The Viner,
Kreps, and Schumpeter materials are all in one pdf file here.
Holt, C.J. in Keeble v. Hickeringill, QB, 1707, 11 East 574, 103 Eng.
Rep. 1127. An 18th century judge citing a case from 1410.
    Kreps, David, A Course in Microeconomic Theory, pp.
274-279 (Princeton University Press, 1990)
- 6 April, Thursday. Writing, Looking at Regressions
    Today, we'll look at your profit reports.
   John H. CochraneWriting Tips for Ph. D. Students,
June 8, 2005, University of Chicago.
    Reader: item 68, "Aphorisms"
    Edward Tufte, "PowerPoint Is Evil," Wired, Issue
11.09 (September 2003),
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/11.09/ppt2.html.
    Peter Norvig, "The Gettysburg Powerpoint Presentation,"
http://www.norvig.com/Gettysburg/index.htm . Here is the original Gettysburg Address.
   
"Capitalization Rules for Titles". Also,
"Writing Tips",
www.writersblock.ca, is a good site on the fine points of writing.
    Tips for Regression Presentation
.
    Principles of Graphs and Tables
and other powerpoint slides.
    "Common Mistakes" and
other powerpoint slides.
- Week 13
- 11 April, Tuesday. Exclusive Dealing
    John Asker,
"Diagnosing Foreclosure Due to Exclusive Dealing," October 14, 2004, Leonard
N. Stern School of Business, NYU.
    Powerpoint
lecture slides
- 13 April, Thursday. File Sharing and Record Sales,
    Felix Oberholzer and Koleman Strumpf, "The Effect of File
Sharing on Record Sales An Empirical Analysis," Harvard Business School
(March 2004).
    Powerpoint
lecture slides
- Week 14
- 18 April, Tuesday. Production Functions
    Instead of class in BU 404, go to the Econometrics Workshop in
Wiley 005, 4-5:30, to hear Dan Ackerberg of UCLA on
"Structural Identification of Production Functions". Comments in tex and pdf.
- 20 April, Thursday. Prices, Ads, and Search
    Jeffrey Milyo
and Joel Waldfogel "The Effect of Price Advertising on Prices:
Evidence in the Wake of 44 Liquormart," American Economic Review,
89(5): 1081-1096 (December 1999).
    You might be interested in reading the Supreme Court
decision in 44
Liquormart.
Excerpts are here. You can also view the full Main Opinion and the Thomas opinion.
Here are my
powerpoint slides.
- Week 15
- 25 April, Tuesday. Mandatory Disclosure
    Ginger Jin and Phillip Leslie (2003): "The Effect of Information on Product
Quality: Evidence from Restaurant Hygiene Grade Cards," Quarterly Journal
of Economics, 118(2): 409-451 (May 2003).
2006 Bloomington restaurant inspections.
    Here are my powerpoints.
- 27 April, Thursday. Antitrust Law.
    "Statutory Provisions
and Guidelines of the Antitrust Division," 3rd edition (April 2001)
    Microsoft case: "Conclusions of Law," United
States District Court for the District of Columbia, Civil action 98-1232
    Lawrence White
(1999) "Present at the Beginning of a New Era for Antitrust: Reflections on
1982-1983,"March 16, 1999.
http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=167208
    Powerpoint
lecture slides
The paper report assignment is due today.
- Final Examination: BU 404, Thursday, May 4. 7:15-9:15 p.m.
    Finals in pdf for 2003 and with its paper
to analyze: ``Characteristics,
Contracts, and Actions: Evidence From Venture Capitalist Analyses,'' http://gsb.uchicago.edu/fac/steven.kaplan/ Steven Kaplan and Per Stromberg, January
2002' and for 2006.
Some Extras We Might Talk About Now and Then
    Reader, item 2, Albert Tucker, ``A Two-Person Dilemma,''
unpublished notes (May 1950).
    Reader, item 17, "The Conference Handbook"
    Reader: item 68, "Aphorisms"
    Reader: item 27, "Starting Research
Early"
    Reader: item 7, Nasar "School of Genius"
    Reader: item 12, Lachman
    Reader: item 48,
Hal Varian
    Reader: item 22, "Shooting the Bird's Eye"
Send comments to Prof. Rasmusen