Politics - Revision history

Rasmusen p1vaim at 21:38, 12 February 2021

2021-02-12T21:38:50Z

Rasmusen p1vaim at 03:19, 5 October 2020

2020-10-05T03:19:12Z

Rasmusen p1vaim at 03:15, 5 October 2020

2020-10-05T03:15:45Z

Rasmusen p1vaim at 03:23, 1 October 2020

2020-10-01T03:23:02Z

Rasmusen p1vaim at 03:21, 1 October 2020

2020-10-01T03:21:28Z

Rasmusen p1vaim at 03:12, 1 October 2020

2020-10-01T03:12:22Z

Rasmusen p1vaim at 03:09, 1 October 2020

2020-10-01T03:09:34Z

Rasmusen p1vaim at 22:02, 29 September 2020

2020-09-29T22:02:12Z

Rasmusen p1vaim: Created page with "David Shor [https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/david-shor-cancel-culture-2020-election-theory-polls.html said] {{Quotation| Campaigns do want to win. But the people who..."

2020-09-29T21:59:32Z

Created page with "David Shor [https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/david-shor-cancel-culture-2020-election-theory-polls.html said] {{Quotation| Campaigns do want to win. But the people who..."

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David Shor [https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/david-shor-cancel-culture-2020-election-theory-polls.html said]
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Campaigns do want to win. But the people who work in campaigns tend to be highly ideologically motivated and thus, super-prone to convincing themselves to do things that are strategically dumb. Nothing that I tell people — or that my team [at Civis] told people — is actually that smart. You know, we’d do all this math, and some of it’s pretty cool, but at a high level, what we’re saying is: “You should put your money in cheap media markets in close states close to the election, and you should talk about popular issues, and not talk about unpopular issues.” And we’d use machine learning to operationalize that at scale. }}

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		+	{{Quotation\| Faced with incompetence of his marshals during the first months of German invasion, Stalin was forced to appoint capable senior officers whom he, during the lunatic period of his purges, sent to torture chambers & exile in Siberia. One of them was, later much decorated marshal Konstantin Rokossovsky, who had his finger-nails “removed” during torture interrogations two-three years ago. He was called back from the Gulag. Stalin received him & appointed him to lead some of the most important fronts (Rokossovsky turned out to be one of the 5-8 most capable marshals). Noticing that he didn’t have finger nails, Stalin asked Rokossovsky: ” Interrogation?”. Rokossovsky:”Yes, comrade Stalin”. Stalin sighed & said:” Oh yes, those were difficult times. Many unpleasant things happened. How was it possible?”
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		+	One of Stalin’s favorite authors was Chekhov. He had read Chekhov’s short stories frequently. And a few times he mentioned to Molotov, Mal’enkov, Khrushchev & other his closest associates: ” I am surrounded by brutes. Look at these NKVD butchers, these Yagoda, Yezhov (heads of the political police & organizers of purges & Gulag). If only Anton Pavlovich (Chekhov) were alive, I would have appointed him to head the NKVD. What a success story that would be! We would get rid of much more enemies of the people, Anton Pavlovich would have done it in his characteristic, tender manner- and even our enemies would have been happy because they would have known they had been eliminated by such a historical figure, an epitome of humanity and love of mankind!” https://www.unz.com/isteve/stalin-was-a-funny-guy/}}
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	David Shor [https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/david-shor-cancel-culture-2020-election-theory-polls.html said]		David Shor [https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/david-shor-cancel-culture-2020-election-theory-polls.html said]
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@@ Line 30: / Line 30: @@
 [https://www.trtworld.com/opinion/how-gulenists-infiltrated-turkey-s-bureaucracy-8886 How Gulenists infiltrated Turkey's bureaucracy] by
 	MEHMET ZAHID SOBACI		18 JUL 2017 tells about the Gulenists used Human Resources control to almost seize control of Turkey.
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← Older revision		Revision as of 03:15, 5 October 2020
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	{{Quotation\| if you look at Black voters trending against us, it’s not uniform. It’s specifically young, secular Black voters who are voting more Republican than their demographic used to. And the ostensible reason for this is the weakening of the Black church, which had, for historical reasons, occupied a really central place in Black society and helped anchor African-Americans in the Democratic Party. Among Black voters, one of the biggest predictors for voting Republican is not attending church.}}		{{Quotation\| if you look at Black voters trending against us, it’s not uniform. It’s specifically young, secular Black voters who are voting more Republican than their demographic used to. And the ostensible reason for this is the weakening of the Black church, which had, for historical reasons, occupied a really central place in Black society and helped anchor African-Americans in the Democratic Party. Among Black voters, one of the biggest predictors for voting Republican is not attending church.}}

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		+	[https://www.trtworld.com/opinion/how-gulenists-infiltrated-turkey-s-bureaucracy-8886 How Gulenists infiltrated Turkey's bureaucracy] by
		+	MEHMET ZAHID SOBACI 18 JUL 2017 tells about the Gulenists used Human Resources control to almost seize control of Turkey.
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 {{Quotation| There’s like 20 percent of the electorate that trusts Democratic elites tremendously. And '''they will turn their views on a dime if the party tells them to.''' So this is how you can get Abolish ICE to go from a 10 percent issue to a 30 percent issue. If you’re an ideological activist, that’s a powerful force. If you convince strong partisans to adopt your view, then when the party comes to power, strong partisans will ultimately make up that administration and then you can make policy progress.}}
-{{Quotation| Among Black voters, one of the biggest predictors for voting Republican is not attending church.}}
+ It seems that one reason Trump did well is that young black voters don't go to church as much, and so don't follow Democratic Party orders as much.
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 He's marxist-leninist in his view of the people, as an ignorant mass to be manipulated by the party elite:
 {{Quotation| There’s like 20 percent of the electorate that trusts Democratic elites tremendously. And '''they will turn their views on a dime if the party tells them to.''' So this is how you can get Abolish ICE to go from a 10 percent issue to a 30 percent issue. If you’re an ideological activist, that’s a powerful force. If you convince strong partisans to adopt your view, then when the party comes to power, strong partisans will ultimately make up that administration and then you can make policy progress.}}
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← Older revision		Revision as of 03:12, 1 October 2020
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	Shor is a good example of the unconstrained-vision zealot of Sowell, who can't imagine anybody intelligent differing from him politically except out of malice.		Shor is a good example of the unconstrained-vision zealot of Sowell, who can't imagine anybody intelligent differing from him politically except out of malice.
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		+	He's marxist-leninist in his view of the people, as an ignorant mass to be manipulated by the party elite:
		+	{{Quotation\| There’s like 20 percent of the electorate that trusts Democratic elites tremendously. And '''they will turn their views on a dime if the party tells them to.''' So this is how you can get Abolish ICE to go from a 10 percent issue to a 30 percent issue. If you’re an ideological activist, that’s a powerful force. If you convince strong partisans to adopt your view, then when the party comes to power, strong partisans will ultimately make up that administration and then you can make policy progress.}}

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   But, if you ask a battery of “racial resentment” questions — stuff like, “Do you think that there are a lot of white people who are having trouble finding a job because nonwhite people are getting them instead?” or, “Do you think that white people don’t have enough influence in how this country is run?” — and then control for the propensity to answer those questions in a racially resentful way, education ceases to be the relevant variable: Non-college-educated white people with low levels of racial resentment trended towards us in 2016, and college-educated white people with high levels of racial resentments turned against us. }}
-What people like Shor mean by racism is opposition to affirmative action and other forms of special privilege for ethnic groups.
+What people like Shor mean by racism is opposition to unrestricted immigration and to affirmative action and other forms of special privilege for ethnic groups. It's as if conservatives called someone marxist if they support higher taxes, which no conservative does.
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 David Shor [https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/david-shor-cancel-culture-2020-election-theory-polls.html said]
 {{Quotation|
-  Campaigns do want to win. But the people who work in campaigns tend to be highly ideologically motivated and thus, super-prone to convincing themselves to do things that are strategically dumb. Nothing that I tell people — or that my team [at Civis] told people — is actually that smart. You know, we’d do all this math, and some of it’s pretty cool, but at a high level, what we’re saying is: “You should put your money in cheap media markets in close states close to the election, and you should talk about popular issues, and not talk about unpopular issues.” And we’d use machine learning to operationalize that at scale. }}
+  Campaigns do want to win. But the people who work in campaigns tend to be highly ideologically motivated and thus, super-prone to convincing themselves to do things that are strategically dumb. Nothing that I tell people — or that my team [at Civis] told people — is actually that smart. You know, we’d do all this math, and some of it’s pretty cool, but at a high level, what we’re saying is: “You should put your money in cheap media markets in close states close to the election, and you should talk about popular issues, and not talk about unpopular issues.” And we’d use machine learning to operationalize that at scale.
+...
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 {{Quotation| }}