Poison Pills

Musk and the Twitter Poison Pill]]

The Twitter Preferred Stock Rights Agreement of April 15, 2022 is a poison pill meant to stop Elon Musk from acquiring the company. It essentially says that if any Person or Group of persons acquires over 15% of the shares of Twitter stock, the *other* shareholders each get a huge payout from the company. Delaware courts long ago said that such poison pills were legal, despite how they discriminate against minority shareholders.

But imagine the following story. Elon Musk has bought 14% of Twitter shares. Under current management, his purchase will be unprofitable; if he gets to fire the management, it will be profitable. Three other people, Andreessen, Buffett, and Carlos, can afford to buy 14% each, but will only do so if it is profitable. If there were no poison pill, Musk could buy 60% himself, or Musk, Andreessen, Buffett, and Carlos could agree to buy 60% joingly (let's ignore what *would* happen as a result of competition among them). But the poison pill would make this unprofitable.

So suppose, instead, that Andreessen says, "If I thought Buffett and Carlos would buy 14% each, I would buy 14% too, and then we'd all want to vote with Musk to fire the current management. I am not making any sort of promise by saying this. I am not committing myself legally or morally. I am just saying this is what it would be in my best interest to do in that situation." And suppose Buffett issues a similar statement, and then Carlos does. After these statements, which are "cheap talk", not contracts and not agreements to act but rather statements of personal self-interest, Andreessen would be willing to buy 14%, knowing that Buffett will then buy 14% because Buffett will know that Carlos will then buy 14%.

It is crucial, for the law, that these statements are non-binding; they do not commit anyone to anything. They are like Warnings as opposed to Threats, or Predictions as opposed to Promises, in game theory terms. They are perhaps even less meaningful, since we are not assuming that there is any punishment for lying. (I will not get into the game theory/Wittgenstein problems of whether "I am hot" might mean "I am cold" in equilibrium, or whether the small cost of the effort to make a statement matters as in forward induction.)

Is there some reason in corporate law why this would not work? One thing I have omitted is what exactly happens when the people who want to fire the current management get 51% of the shares. Twitter has a staggered board, so it would take some years to vote in a majority on the board of directors. It probably has similar institutions to thwart shareholder majorities from controlling the company. I don't know the corporate and securities law of how a majority of shareholders would go about taking the company private or selling it to another corporation or revising the charter.