---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- log: /N/hd02/erasmuse/Libra/regressions.log log type: text opened on: 1 Dec 2005, 11:03:13 . set more 1; . *This should stop the pauses; . *To keep going regardless of errors, use DO mYFILE, nostop; . * ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~--; . set memory 500m; (512000k) . set matsize 100; . * ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~--; . use pros.dta; . generate inccrime= (income*pop)/(crimerate*pop); . generate incpros = (income*pop)/(prosrate*crimerate*pop); . * ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~--; . *Prosecution rate regressions; . xi: ivreg prosrate (winrate budcrime =black inccrime) term appointed inoffi > ce murderfraction crimerate pbush pop income i.state, robust; i.state _Istate_1-48 (_Istate_1 for state==AL omitted) Instrumental variables (2SLS) regression Number of obs = 1259 F( 52, 1202) = . Prob > F = 0.0000 R-squared = . Root MSE = .13454 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- | Robust prosrate | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ------------- +---------------------------------------------------------------- winrate | .005202 .0086478 0.60 0.548 -.0117644 .0221685 budcrime | .0367954 .0093041 3.95 0.000 .0185413 .0550495 term | .0009272 .0092782 0.10 0.920 -.0172761 .0191305 appointed | -.1638949 .0427765 -3.83 0.000 -.2478197 -.07997 inoffice | -.001082 .0015265 -0.71 0.479 -.0040768 .0019129 murderfrac~n | .004959 .0097462 0.51 0.611 -.0141625 .0240805 crimerate | -.0003893 .0059514 -0.07 0.948 -.0120656 .011287 pbush | -.0007433 .000962 -0.77 0.440 -.0026307 .001144 pop | -9.67e-06 7.12e-06 -1.36 0.175 -.0000236 4.29e-06 income | -.001793 .0007296 -2.46 0.014 -.0032244 - .0003617 _Istate_2 | -.0329663 .0679222 -0.49 0.628 -.1662255 .1002929 _Istate_3 | -.1227459 .0494314 -2.48 0.013 -.2197273 - .0257646 _Istate_4 | -.1248161 .0556708 -2.24 0.025 -.2340389 - .0155933 _Istate_5 | -.1017069 .0563117 -1.81 0.071 -.2121871 .0087734 _Istate_6 | (dropped) _Istate_7 | .023244 .1041131 0.22 0.823 -.1810197 .2275077 _Istate_8 | .0639696 .0555877 1.15 0.250 -.0450901 .1730293 _Istate_9 | -.1896215 .0946046 -2.00 0.045 -.37523 - .0040129 _Istate_10 | -.0736116 .0482003 -1.53 0.127 -.1681776 .0209544 _Istate_11 | -.0833593 .0492564 -1.69 0.091 -.1799973 .0132787 _Istate_12 | -.0201222 .0532963 -0.38 0.706 -.1246863 .084442 _Istate_13 | -.0552051 .045973 -1.20 0.230 -.1454014 .0349913 _Istate_14 | -.0411865 .0424584 -0.97 0.332 -.1244873 .0421143 _Istate_15 | -.0828825 .0732745 -1.13 0.258 -.2266426 .0608775 _Istate_16 | -.0315537 .0449817 -0.70 0.483 -.1198052 .0566977 _Istate_17 | .029341 .1103172 0.27 0.790 -.1870946 .2457766 _Istate_18 | -.0890386 .040314 -2.21 0.027 -.1681322 - .0099451 _Istate_19 | -.087186 .0499494 -1.75 0.081 -.1851837 .0108117 _Istate_20 | -.0097572 .04078 -0.24 0.811 -.0897651 .0702507 _Istate_21 | -.1334121 .0637814 -2.09 0.037 -.2585473 - .0082768 _Istate_22 | .0078943 .0401756 0.20 0.844 -.0709277 .0867163 _Istate_23 | -.0965152 .0564928 -1.71 0.088 -.2073508 .0143203 _Istate_24 | -.168837 .0742119 -2.28 0.023 -.3144362 - .0232378 _Istate_25 | .0412237 .0861189 0.48 0.632 -.1277364 .2101837 _Istate_26 | -.1680949 .0829826 -2.03 0.043 -.3309017 - .0052881 _Istate_27 | -.1303105 .041874 -3.11 0.002 -.2124647 - .0481563 _Istate_28 | -.025173 .1031528 -0.24 0.807 -.2275525 .1772066 _Istate_29 | .072502 .0751721 0.96 0.335 -.0749811 .2199852 _Istate_30 | -.0406466 .0813217 -0.50 0.617 -.2001949 .1189016 _Istate_31 | -.0093894 .2484099 -0.04 0.970 -.4967545 .4779757 _Istate_32 | -.1654241 .07515 -2.20 0.028 -.3128638 - .0179844 _Istate_33 | -.1296157 .0551376 -2.35 0.019 -.2377923 - .0214391 _Istate_34 | -.0424777 .0583081 -0.73 0.466 -.1568746 .0719192 _Istate_35 | -.0554876 .0453998 -1.22 0.222 -.1445593 .0335841 _Istate_36 | -.0986341 .071768 -1.37 0.170 -.2394386 .0421703 _Istate_37 | -.1165195 .067261 -1.73 0.083 -.2484814 .0154425 _Istate_38 | .2603769 .2421134 1.08 0.282 -.2146351 .7353888 _Istate_39 | -.0439203 .1048136 -0.42 0.675 -.2495582 .1617176 _Istate_40 | .0216724 .047946 0.45 0.651 -.0723947 .1157395 _Istate_41 | -.0135602 .0593403 -0.23 0.819 -.1299824 .1028619 _Istate_42 | -.0648122 .0709837 -0.91 0.361 -.2040779 .0744535 _Istate_43 | .0739085 .0440025 1.68 0.093 -.0124218 .1602389 _Istate_44 | .0040959 .0818729 0.05 0.960 -.1565337 .1647256 _Istate_45 | -.136105 .0430557 -3.16 0.002 -.2205776 - .0516324 _Istate_46 | -.0187166 .0946821 -0.20 0.843 -.2044772 .1670441 _Istate_47 | -.1795195 .0797847 -2.25 0.025 -.3360523 - .0229867 _Istate_48 | -.0493107 .049857 -0.99 0.323 -.1471272 .0485059 _cons | -.2223081 .7130618 -0.31 0.755 -1.621292 1.176676 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Instrumented: winrate budcrime Instruments: term appointed inoffice murderfraction crimerate pbush pop income _Istate_2 _Istate_3 _Istate_4 _Istate_5 _Istate_6 _Istate_7 _Istate_8 _Istate_9 _Istate_10 _Istate_11 _Istate_12 _Istate_13 _Istate_14 _Istate_15 _Istate_16 _Istate_17 _Istate_18 _Istate_19 _Istate_20 _Istate_21 _Istate_22 _Istate_23 _Istate_24 _Istate_25 _Istate_26 _Istate_27 _Istate_28 _Istate_29 _Istate_30 _Istate_31 _Istate_32 _Istate_33 _Istate_34 _Istate_35 _Istate_36 _Istate_37 _Istate_38 _Istate_39 _Istate_40 _Istate_41 _Istate_42 _Istate_43 _Istate_44 _Istate_45 _Istate_46 _Istate_47 _Istate_48 blackper inccrime ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- . xi: ivreg prosrate (budcrime=inccrime) term inoffice appointed crimerate mur > derfraction black pbush pop income i.state, robust; i.state _Istate_1-48 (_Istate_1 for state==AL omitted) Instrumental variables (2SLS) regression Number of obs = 1259 F( 52, 1202) = . Prob > F = 0.0000 R-squared = 0.3631 Root MSE = .10618 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- | Robust prosrate | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ------------- +---------------------------------------------------------------- budcrime | .0312797 .0049867 6.27 0.000 .0214961 .0410634 term | -.0007204 .0060384 -0.12 0.905 -.0125674 .0111267 inoffice | -.0002302 .0004539 -0.51 0.612 -.0011206 .0006603 appointed | -.1359498 .0324344 -4.19 0.000 -.1995841 - .0723155 crimerate | -.0042929 .0020122 -2.13 0.033 -.0082407 - .0003451 murderfrac~n | .0050538 .0082452 0.61 0.540 -.0111229 .0212305 blackper | .0003744 .0005361 0.70 0.485 -.0006774 .0014262 pbush | -.0001015 .0003557 -0.29 0.776 -.0007993 .0005964 pop | -9.79e-06 6.05e-06 -1.62 0.106 -.0000217 2.07e-06 income | -.0014518 .0004532 -3.20 0.001 -.002341 - .0005627 _Istate_2 | .0021784 .034419 0.06 0.950 -.0653496 .0697064 _Istate_3 | -.0894948 .0347666 -2.57 0.010 -.1577048 - .0212848 _Istate_4 | -.0922215 .0410795 -2.24 0.025 -.172817 - .0116261 _Istate_5 | -.0647542 .0314082 -2.06 0.039 -.1263753 - .0031332 _Istate_6 | (dropped) _Istate_7 | -.0307959 .0270169 -1.14 0.255 -.0838015 .0222097 _Istate_8 | .0404887 .0297222 1.36 0.173 -.0178245 .0988019 _Istate_9 | -.1257815 .0466185 -2.70 0.007 -.2172442 - .0343187 _Istate_10 | -.0444374 .0325468 -1.37 0.172 -.1082923 .0194175 _Istate_11 | -.0912978 .0323969 -2.82 0.005 -.1548585 -.027737 _Istate_12 | -.0167643 .0365021 -0.46 0.646 -.0883792 .0548506 _Istate_13 | -.0278039 .0295156 -0.94 0.346 -.0857118 .030104 _Istate_14 | -.0242654 .0379617 -0.64 0.523 -.0987439 .0502131 _Istate_15 | -.0350363 .0266267 -1.32 0.188 -.0872764 .0172037 _Istate_16 | -.0417991 .0275837 -1.52 0.130 -.0959166 .0123185 _Istate_17 | .01588 .0680565 0.23 0.816 -.1176428 .1494028 _Istate_18 | -.0914162 .0284901 -3.21 0.001 -.1473121 - .0355203 _Istate_19 | -.0758365 .0316774 -2.39 0.017 -.1379856 - .0136874 _Istate_20 | .0038564 .0345212 0.11 0.911 -.0638722 .0715849 _Istate_21 | -.0899364 .0310695 -2.89 0.004 -.1508928 -.02898 _Istate_22 | .0251232 .0330798 0.76 0.448 -.0397774 .0900239 _Istate_23 | -.0740669 .0274199 -2.70 0.007 -.1278631 - .0202706 _Istate_24 | -.1200532 .0342729 -3.50 0.000 -.1872946 - .0528118 _Istate_25 | .0004825 .0275655 0.02 0.986 -.0535993 .0545644 _Istate_26 | -.1194976 .0436883 -2.74 0.006 -.2052114 - .0337837 _Istate_27 | -.112413 .0333033 -3.38 0.001 -.1777522 - .0470739 _Istate_28 | -.0591544 .0502664 -1.18 0.240 -.1577741 .0394652 _Istate_29 | .0312931 .0286422 1.09 0.275 -.0249011 .0874874 _Istate_30 | -.0690236 .0413117 -1.67 0.095 -.1500747 .0120275 _Istate_31 | -.1356063 .0778117 -1.74 0.082 -.2882681 .0170555 _Istate_32 | -.1157745 .0283874 -4.08 0.000 -.1714688 - .0600801 _Istate_33 | -.0958983 .0289367 -3.31 0.001 -.1526703 - .0391263 _Istate_34 | -.0595496 .0304164 -1.96 0.050 -.1192248 .0001256 _Istate_35 | -.029489 .0365305 -0.81 0.420 -.1011597 .0421816 _Istate_36 | -.0521102 .0291918 -1.79 0.074 -.1093827 .0051624 _Istate_37 | -.0701649 .0303715 -2.31 0.021 -.129752 - .0105778 _Istate_38 | .120492 .0500536 2.41 0.016 .0222899 .2186941 _Istate_39 | -.0893806 .0438008 -2.04 0.042 -.1753151 - .0034461 _Istate_40 | .0238677 .0406788 0.59 0.557 -.0559416 .103677 _Istate_41 | -.0377639 .0268439 -1.41 0.160 -.09043 .0149023 _Istate_42 | -.0225507 .0418078 -0.54 0.590 -.1045751 .0594738 _Istate_43 | .0885123 .0345154 2.56 0.010 .0207951 .1562295 _Istate_44 | -.0005057 .0765611 -0.01 0.995 -.1507139 .1497025 _Istate_45 | -.1139192 .0329498 -3.46 0.001 -.1785647 - .0492738 _Istate_46 | -.0602176 .035656 -1.69 0.092 -.1301724 .0097373 _Istate_47 | -.1270075 .0308302 -4.12 0.000 -.1874945 - .0665206 _Istate_48 | -.0318533 .0415065 -0.77 0.443 -.1132866 .04958 _cons | .1944933 .0538476 3.61 0.000 .0888476 .3001389 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Instrumented: budcrime Instruments: term inoffice appointed crimerate murderfraction blackper pbush pop income _Istate_2 _Istate_3 _Istate_4 _Istate_5 _Istate_6 _Istate_7 _Istate_8 _Istate_9 _Istate_10 _Istate_11 _Istate_12 _Istate_13 _Istate_14 _Istate_15 _Istate_16 _Istate_17 _Istate_18 _Istate_19 _Istate_20 _Istate_21 _Istate_22 _Istate_23 _Istate_24 _Istate_25 _Istate_26 _Istate_27 _Istate_28 _Istate_29 _Istate_30 _Istate_31 _Istate_32 _Istate_33 _Istate_34 _Istate_35 _Istate_36 _Istate_37 _Istate_38 _Istate_39 _Istate_40 _Istate_41 _Istate_42 _Istate_43 _Istate_44 _Istate_45 _Istate_46 _Istate_47 _Istate_48 inccrime ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- . xi: regress prosrate budcrime term inoffice appointed crimerate murderfractio > n black pbush pop income i.state; i.state _Istate_1-48 (_Istate_1 for state==AL omitted) Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 1259 -------------+------------------------------ F( 56, 1202) = 13.46 Model | 8.19850691 56 .146401909 Prob > F = 0.0000 Residual | 13.0771936 1202 .010879529 R-squared = 0.3853 -------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.3567 Total | 21.2757005 1258 .016912322 Root MSE = .1043 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- prosrate | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ------------- +---------------------------------------------------------------- budcrime | .0195595 .0017759 11.01 0.000 .0160753 .0230437 term | -.0029128 .0095264 -0.31 0.760 -.0216031 .0157775 inoffice | -.0002339 .0004312 -0.54 0.588 -.0010799 .0006121 appointed | -.1262623 .1100696 -1.15 0.252 -.3422123 .0896876 crimerate | -.0090947 .0013407 -6.78 0.000 -.011725 - .0064644 murderfrac~n | -.0004729 .0068839 -0.07 0.945 -.0139786 .0130328 blackper | .0007654 .0004428 1.73 0.084 -.0001034 .0016341 pbush | -.0001472 .0003897 -0.38 0.706 -.0009117 .0006173 pop | -.0000125 8.87e-06 -1.41 0.158 -.00003 4.86e-06 income | -.001345 .0004194 -3.21 0.001 -.0021678 - .0005222 _Istate_2 | -.0066838 .0489799 -0.14 0.891 -.1027793 .0894117 _Istate_3 | -.0522209 .0454803 -1.15 0.251 -.1414504 .0370086 _Istate_4 | -.0453779 .0387347 -1.17 0.242 -.121373 .0306172 _Istate_5 | -.0446301 .0413769 -1.08 0.281 -.1258091 .0365489 _Istate_6 | (dropped) _Istate_7 | -.0240098 .1093803 -0.22 0.826 -.2386074 .1905877 _Istate_8 | .0386689 .0384963 1.00 0.315 -.0368585 .1141964 _Istate_9 | -.0979837 .0696355 -1.41 0.160 -.2346043 .038637 _Istate_10 | -.028433 .0357128 -0.80 0.426 -.0984993 .0416333 _Istate_11 | -.0777242 .0386615 -2.01 0.045 -.1535757 - .0018727 _Istate_12 | .0054998 .0573704 0.10 0.924 -.1070575 .1180571 _Istate_13 | -.0230815 .0347063 -0.67 0.506 -.0911732 .0450102 _Istate_14 | -.0003588 .0365625 -0.01 0.992 -.0720922 .0713747 _Istate_15 | -.0405605 .0329963 -1.23 0.219 -.1052973 .0241764 _Istate_16 | -.0205298 .0340153 -0.60 0.546 -.0872658 .0462061 _Istate_17 | .025881 .0694624 0.37 0.710 -.1104001 .162162 _Istate_18 | -.0782457 .0419594 -1.86 0.062 -.1605675 .0040761 _Istate_19 | -.0834075 .0546482 -1.53 0.127 -.190624 .0238089 _Istate_20 | .0147265 .0362725 0.41 0.685 -.0564379 .085891 _Istate_21 | -.0723341 .0361219 -2.00 0.045 -.143203 - .0014652 _Istate_22 | .0273228 .0353486 0.77 0.440 -.0420291 .0966747 _Istate_23 | -.0657212 .0540365 -1.22 0.224 -.1717375 .0402951 _Istate_24 | -.0931453 .0418871 -2.22 0.026 -.1753254 - .0109653 _Istate_25 | .011502 .0387801 0.30 0.767 -.0645822 .0875861 _Istate_26 | -.089807 .0385488 -2.33 0.020 -.1654374 - .0141766 _Istate_27 | -.090277 .036914 -2.45 0.015 -.1627 -.017854 _Istate_28 | -.0681859 .0614446 -1.11 0.267 -.1887365 .0523647 _Istate_29 | .0530594 .1117743 0.47 0.635 -.1662351 .2723539 _Istate_30 | -.0461014 .0515455 -0.89 0.371 -.1472305 .0550277 _Istate_31 | -.0808917 .0542349 -1.49 0.136 -.1872972 .0255138 _Istate_32 | -.1115112 .0360204 -3.10 0.002 -.1821811 - .0408413 _Istate_33 | -.0915769 .0351296 -2.61 0.009 -.1604991 - .0226546 _Istate_34 | -.0422818 .0391527 -1.08 0.280 -.119097 .0345334 _Istate_35 | -.0086205 .0405906 -0.21 0.832 -.0882568 .0710158 _Istate_36 | -.0559491 .0361951 -1.55 0.122 -.1269616 .0150635 _Istate_37 | -.0691801 .1100502 -0.63 0.530 -.2850919 .1467318 _Istate_38 | .1158781 .0501314 2.31 0.021 .0175233 .2142329 _Istate_39 | -.0562948 .0399391 -1.41 0.159 -.1346529 .0220633 _Istate_40 | .0305029 .0379741 0.80 0.422 -.0439999 .1050057 _Istate_41 | -.0323364 .0331768 -0.97 0.330 -.0974273 .0327545 _Istate_42 | -.001673 .0401353 -0.04 0.967 -.0804161 .0770701 _Istate_43 | .091471 .0338379 2.70 0.007 .025083 .1578589 _Istate_44 | .0060057 .0478134 0.13 0.900 -.0878013 .0998127 _Istate_45 | -.0846207 .039778 -2.13 0.034 -.1626627 - .0065786 _Istate_46 | -.0697217 .1144753 -0.61 0.543 -.2943154 .154872 _Istate_47 | -.1148905 .0376091 -3.05 0.002 -.1886772 - .0411038 _Istate_48 | -.0144182 .0443138 -0.33 0.745 -.1013592 .0725228 _cons | .2523088 .0694195 3.63 0.000 .1161118 .3885058 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- . * ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~--; . *alabama is omitted; . *conviction rate regressions; . ivtobit winrate prosrate (budpros=incpros) term appointed inoffice murderf > raction blackper pbush pop income > , ll(30) ul(100) iterate (10) ; Fitting exogenous tobit model Fitting full model Iteration 0: log likelihood = -15492.626 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -15461.384 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -15456.846 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -15455.53 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -15455.521 Iteration 5: log likelihood = -15455.521 Tobit model with endogenous regressors Number of obs = 1259 Wald chi2(10) = 33.42 Log likelihood = -15455.521 Prob > chi2 = 0.0002 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] ------------- +---------------------------------------------------------------- winrate | budpros | .00093 .0004582 2.03 0.042 .000032 .001828 prosrate | -4.613349 4.017059 -1.15 0.251 -12.48664 3.259941 term | .5370582 .5320263 1.01 0.313 -.5056943 1.579811 appointed | -9.410257 3.871243 -2.43 0.015 -16.99775 - 1.822761 inoffice | .1039432 .0623704 1.67 0.096 -.0183005 .226187 murderfrac~n | -.3748459 .911491 -0.41 0.681 -2.161335 1.411644 blackper | -.1031767 .0457321 -2.26 0.024 -.1928099 - .0135434 pbush | -.0554495 .0436325 -1.27 0.204 -.1409676 .0300685 pop | -.0008895 .0011847 -0.75 0.453 -.0032114 .0014324 income | .0447928 .0597837 0.75 0.454 -.0723811 .1619667 _cons | 82.02609 4.379122 18.73 0.000 73.44317 90.60901 ------------- +---------------------------------------------------------------- /alpha | -.0019464 .0005609 -3.47 0.001 -.0030457 -.000847 /lns | 2.666304 .0210156 126.87 0.000 2.625114 2.707494 /lnv | 7.178932 .0199284 360.24 0.000 7.139873 7.21799 ------------- +---------------------------------------------------------------- s | 14.3867 .3023445 13.80615 14.99166 v | 1311.506 26.1362 1261.268 1363.746 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Instrumented: budpros Instruments: prosrate term appointed inoffice murderfraction blackper pbush pop income incpros ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Wald test of exogeneity (/alpha = 0): chi2(1) = 12.04 Prob > chi2 = 0.0005 Obs. summary: 1 left-censored observation at winrate<=30 1133 uncensored observations 125 right-censored observations at winrate>=100 . xi: tobit winrate prosrate budpros term appointed inoffice murderfraction i.s > tate, ll(30) ul(100) iterate (10) ; i.state _Istate_1-48 (_Istate_1 for state==AL omitted) note: _Istate_29 dropped due to collinearity Tobit regression Number of obs = 1259 LR chi2(52) = 224.96 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -4761.3411 Pseudo R2 = 0.0231 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- winrate | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ------------- +---------------------------------------------------------------- prosrate | -4.046268 3.757537 -1.08 0.282 -11.4183 3.325761 budpros | .0009554 .0002877 3.32 0.001 .000391 .0015198 term | -.2075399 1.347613 -0.15 0.878 -2.851465 2.436385 appointed | -9.875416 5.359416 -1.84 0.066 -20.39022 .6393904 inoffice | .1936166 .0606471 3.19 0.001 .0746311 .3126021 murderfrac~n | -.0170679 .9343821 -0.02 0.985 -1.850261 1.816126 _Istate_2 | 6.012739 6.867288 0.88 0.381 -7.460409 19.48589 _Istate_3 | -2.45419 6.105985 -0.40 0.688 -14.43371 9.525333 _Istate_4 | -3.440477 5.18396 -0.66 0.507 -13.61105 6.730096 _Istate_5 | 1.978275 5.617984 0.35 0.725 -9.043823 13.00037 _Istate_6 | 8.179755 15.53629 0.53 0.599 -22.30138 38.66089 _Istate_7 | -14.096 15.17623 -0.93 0.353 -43.87073 15.67872 _Istate_8 | -4.295024 5.34039 -0.80 0.421 -14.7725 6.182455 _Istate_9 | 1.314574 9.556495 0.14 0.891 -17.43461 20.06376 _Istate_10 | 2.878199 4.850363 0.59 0.553 -6.63788 12.39428 _Istate_11 | -2.610731 5.361409 -0.49 0.626 -13.12945 7.907986 _Istate_12 | -2.711444 7.80067 -0.35 0.728 -18.01582 12.59294 _Istate_13 | 4.606996 4.758211 0.97 0.333 -4.728288 13.94228 _Istate_14 | 2.96935 5.057987 0.59 0.557 -6.954072 12.89277 _Istate_15 | 9.109346 4.489185 2.03 0.043 .3018738 17.91682 _Istate_16 | -6.195309 4.663037 -1.33 0.184 -15.34387 2.95325 _Istate_17 | -7.086521 9.513842 -0.74 0.456 -25.75203 11.57898 _Istate_18 | -6.437868 5.842056 -1.10 0.271 -17.89958 5.023845 _Istate_19 | .344517 7.554028 0.05 0.964 -14.47597 15.165 _Istate_20 | .2800338 4.962971 0.06 0.955 -9.456974 10.01704 _Istate_21 | 4.47276 4.903699 0.91 0.362 -5.147961 14.09348 _Istate_22 | 3.339461 4.873871 0.69 0.493 -6.22274 12.90166 _Istate_23 | 6.644386 7.729237 0.86 0.390 -8.519847 21.80862 _Istate_24 | 5.604214 5.814601 0.96 0.335 -5.803634 17.01206 _Istate_25 | -10.11729 5.364722 -1.89 0.060 -20.6425 .4079314 _Istate_26 | 10.04921 5.44587 1.85 0.065 -.6352151 20.73363 _Istate_27 | 1.776833 5.126803 0.35 0.729 -8.281603 11.83527 _Istate_28 | -8.139664 8.507839 -0.96 0.339 -24.83146 8.552132 _Istate_30 | -12.07869 7.021033 -1.72 0.086 -25.85347 1.696095 _Istate_31 | -33.57149 7.433075 -4.52 0.000 -48.15467 -18.9883 _Istate_32 | 4.455258 4.974635 0.90 0.371 -5.304634 14.21515 _Istate_33 | 4.296457 4.850828 0.89 0.376 -5.220534 13.81345 _Istate_34 | -5.801433 5.400884 -1.07 0.283 -16.3976 4.79473 _Istate_35 | .8488384 5.524503 0.15 0.878 -9.989857 11.68753 _Istate_36 | 8.104535 4.965549 1.63 0.103 -1.637531 17.8466 _Istate_37 | 4.571012 15.17336 0.30 0.763 -25.19808 34.3401 _Istate_38 | -24.99514 6.964953 -3.59 0.000 -38.6599 - 11.33038 _Istate_39 | -12.49368 5.500078 -2.27 0.023 -23.28446 - 1.702904 _Istate_40 | -1.049117 5.164878 -0.20 0.839 -11.18225 9.084018 _Istate_41 | -5.022297 4.58123 -1.10 0.273 -14.01035 3.965762 _Istate_42 | 7.814769 5.503089 1.42 0.156 -2.981914 18.61145 _Istate_43 | 2.592759 4.709313 0.55 0.582 -6.646591 11.83211 _Istate_44 | -5.095502 6.478069 -0.79 0.432 -17.80503 7.614025 _Istate_45 | -3.405526 5.420832 -0.63 0.530 -14.04083 7.229775 _Istate_46 | -9.800378 15.91239 -0.62 0.538 -41.0194 21.41864 _Istate_47 | 8.331939 5.223261 1.60 0.111 -1.915741 18.57962 _Istate_48 | 1.840722 6.060134 0.30 0.761 -10.04885 13.73029 _cons | 82.79261 9.001046 9.20 0.000 65.13318 100.452 ------------- +---------------------------------------------------------------- /sigma | 14.50552 .3107791 13.8958 15.11525 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Obs. summary: 1 left-censored observation at winrate<=30 1133 uncensored observations 125 right-censored observations at winrate>=100 . xi: regress winrate prosrate budpros crimerate appointed term inoffice murde > rfraction black pbush pop income i.state; i.state _Istate_1-48 (_Istate_1 for state==AL omitted) Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 1259 -------------+------------------------------ F( 57, 1201) = 4.58 Model | 48259.89 57 846.664736 Prob > F = 0.0000 Residual | 221979.86 1201 184.829192 R-squared = 0.1786 -------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.1396 Total | 270239.75 1258 214.816971 Root MSE = 13.595 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- winrate | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] ------------- +---------------------------------------------------------------- prosrate | -11.26812 4.002829 -2.82 0.005 -19.12143 - 3.414801 budpros | .0002852 .0002787 1.02 0.306 -.0002617 .000832 crimerate | -.4788358 .1699294 -2.82 0.005 -.8122274 - .1454443 appointed | 1.966059 14.39005 0.14 0.891 -26.26637 30.19849 term | -.1983195 1.241166 -0.16 0.873 -2.633414 2.236775 inoffice | .1614786 .0562149 2.87 0.004 .0511883 .2717689 murderfrac~n | .4118967 .8914883 0.46 0.644 -1.337151 2.160944 blackper | .0508473 .0575778 0.88 0.377 -.062117 .1638116 pbush | .1274338 .0508635 2.51 0.012 .0276425 .227225 pop | -4.75e-06 .0011571 -0.00 0.997 -.0022749 .0022654 income | .0338547 .0551817 0.61 0.540 -.0744086 .1421181 _Istate_2 | 7.311746 6.382229 1.15 0.252 -5.209812 19.8333 _Istate_3 | 2.437546 5.923305 0.41 0.681 -9.18363 14.05872 _Istate_4 | 1.354562 5.08029 0.27 0.790 -8.612668 11.32179 _Istate_5 | 4.711865 5.394703 0.87 0.383 -5.872225 15.29596 _Istate_6 | (dropped) _Istate_7 | -11.20276 14.25619 -0.79 0.432 -39.17257 16.76705 _Istate_8 | -3.905232 5.019183 -0.78 0.437 -13.75257 5.942109 _Istate_9 | 7.951335 9.128732 0.87 0.384 -9.9587 25.86137 _Istate_10 | 3.811553 4.655025 0.82 0.413 -5.321331 12.94444 _Istate_11 | -4.011356 5.063104 -0.79 0.428 -13.94487 5.922156 _Istate_12 | -1.022455 7.469214 -0.14 0.891 -15.67661 13.6317 _Istate_13 | 4.437286 4.527403 0.98 0.327 -4.445212 13.31978 _Istate_14 | 1.146041 4.765668 0.24 0.810 -8.203921 10.496 _Istate_15 | 9.102714 4.303446 2.12 0.035 .6596069 17.54582 _Istate_16 | -4.066824 4.428682 -0.92 0.359 -12.75564 4.62199 _Istate_17 | -3.096011 9.054281 -0.34 0.732 -20.85998 14.66796 _Istate_18 | -2.988749 5.498278 -0.54 0.587 -13.77605 7.798548 _Istate_19 | 1.609429 7.129627 0.23 0.821 -12.37848 15.59734 _Istate_20 | 1.808169 4.730987 0.38 0.702 -7.473749 11.09009 _Istate_21 | 5.789955 4.715099 1.23 0.220 -3.460792 15.0407 _Istate_22 | 3.321342 4.612542 0.72 0.472 -5.728194 12.37088 _Istate_23 | 2.808984 7.044035 0.40 0.690 -11.011 16.62897 _Istate_24 | 5.614517 5.478997 1.02 0.306 -5.134954 16.36399 _Istate_25 | -8.524874 5.0518 -1.69 0.092 -18.43621 1.38646 _Istate_26 | 5.400272 5.042768 1.07 0.284 -4.493343 15.29389 _Istate_27 | -.0155438 4.851766 -0.00 0.997 -9.534423 9.503336 _Istate_28 | -6.984196 8.014211 -0.87 0.384 -22.70761 8.739216 _Istate_29 | -8.263864 14.57277 -0.57 0.571 -36.85477 20.32704 _Istate_30 | -8.14643 6.72214 -1.21 0.226 -21.33487 5.042013 _Istate_31 | -30.14312 7.063394 -4.27 0.000 -44.00108 - 16.28516 _Istate_32 | 7.175045 4.747464 1.51 0.131 -2.139201 16.48929 _Istate_33 | 4.681956 4.597611 1.02 0.309 -4.338286 13.7022 _Istate_34 | -5.28547 5.098606 -1.04 0.300 -15.28864 4.717696 _Istate_35 | 3.017596 5.292505 0.57 0.569 -7.365989 13.40118 _Istate_36 | 8.392903 4.723041 1.78 0.076 -.8734262 17.65923 _Istate_37 | 7.937041 14.34605 0.55 0.580 -20.20907 36.08315 _Istate_38 | -25.12264 6.545335 -3.84 0.000 -37.96421 - 12.28108 _Istate_39 | -12.36657 5.199985 -2.38 0.018 -22.56863 - 2.164501 _Istate_40 | .1658662 4.953943 0.03 0.973 -9.553479 9.885212 _Istate_41 | -5.631654 4.327468 -1.30 0.193 -14.12189 2.858584 _Istate_42 | 6.225745 5.234361 1.19 0.235 -4.043764 16.49525 _Istate_43 | 3.642195 4.42634 0.82 0.411 -5.042024 12.32641 _Istate_44 | -1.696461 6.246078 -0.27 0.786 -13.9509 10.55798 _Istate_45 | .2562141 5.226843 0.05 0.961 -9.998544 10.51097 _Istate_46 | -8.169142 14.92293 -0.55 0.584 -37.44705 21.10876 _Istate_47 | 7.272855 4.930811 1.47 0.140 -2.401106 16.94682 _Istate_48 | 1.587213 5.778038 0.27 0.784 -9.748959 12.92338 _cons | 78.52413 9.108463 8.62 0.000 60.65386 96.3944 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- . * ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~--; . /* > > Here, I put things not used in this regression run but possibly useful later. > > replace prosrate = log(prosrate); > > replace budpros = log(budpros); > > replace budcrime = log(budcrime); > > replace crimerate = log(crimerate); > > replace pop = log(pop); > > replace incpros = log(incpros); > > replace inccrime = log(inccrime); > > mfx compute, eyex predict(ys(0, 100)) at (median); > > dAK dAR dAZ dCA dCO dCT dDC dDE dFL dGA dHI dIA dID dIL dIN dKS dKY > dLA dMA dMD dME dMI dMN dMO dMS dMT dNC dND dNE dNH dNJ dNM dNV dNY > dOH dOK dOR dPA dRI dSC dSD dTN dTX dUT dVA dVT dWA dWI dWV dWY > > */ > > * ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~--; . clear; . log close; log: /N/hd02/erasmuse/Libra/regressions.log log type: text closed on: 1 Dec 2005, 11:03:26 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------